Trade-off Analytics: Creating and Exploring the System Tradespace

Presents information to create a trade–off analysis framework for use in government and commercial acquisition environments This book presents a decision management process based on decision theory and cost analysis best practices aligned with the ISO/IEC 15288, the Systems Engineering Handbook, and the Systems Engineering Body of Knowledge. It provides a sound trade–off analysis framework to generate the tradespace and evaluate value and risk to support system decision–making throughout the life cycle. Trade–off analysis and risk analysis techniques are examined. The authors present an integrated value trade–off and risk analysis framework based on decision theory. These trade–off analysis concepts are illustrated in the different life cycle stages using multiple examples from defense and commercial domains. Provides techniques to identify and structure stakeholder objectives and creative, doable alternatives Presents the advantages and disadvantages of tradespace creation and exploration techniques for trade–off analysis of concepts, architectures, design, operations, and retirement Covers the sources of uncertainty in the system life cycle and examines how to identify, assess, and model uncertainty using probability Illustrates how to perform a trade–off analysis using the INCOSE Decision Management Process using both deterministic and probabilistic techniques  Trade–off Analytics:  Creating and Exploring the System Tradespace is written for upper undergraduate students and graduate students studying systems design, systems engineering, industrial engineering and engineering management. This book also serves as a resource for practicing systems designers, systems engineers, project managers, and engineering managers. Gregory S. Parnell, PhD, is a Research Professor in the Department of Industrial Engineering at the University of Arkansas. He is also a senior principal with Innovative Decisions, Inc., a decision and risk analysis firm and has served as Chairman of the Board. Dr. Parnell has published more than 100 papers and book chapters and was lead editor of Decision Making for Systems Engineering and Management, Wiley Series in Systems Engineering (2nd Ed, Wiley 2011) and lead author of the Handbook of Decision Analysis (Wiley 2013).  He is a fellow of INFORMS, the INCOSE, MORS, and the Society for Decision Professionals. INDICE: 1. Introduction to Trade–off Analysis Gregory S. Parnell, Mathew Cilli, Azad M. Madni, and Garry Roedler .1.1 Introduction .1.2 Trade–off analyses throughout the life cycle .1.3 Trade–off analysis to identify system value .1.4 Trade–off analysis to identify system uncertainty and risk .1.5 Trade–off analyses can integrate value and risk analysis .1.6 Trade–off analysis in the systems engineering Decision Management Process .1.7 Trade–off analysis mistakes of omission and commission .1.8 Overview of the book .1.9 Key Terms .1.10 Exercises .1.11 References .2. A Conceptual Framework and Mathematical Foundation for Trade–off Analysis Gregory S. Parnell, Azad M. Madni, and Robert F. Bordley .2.1 Introduction .2.2 Trade–off Analysis Terms .2.3 Influence Diagram of the Tradespace .2.4 Tradespace Exploration .2.5 Summary .2.6 Key Words .2.7 Exercises .2.8 References .2.9 Index .3. Quantifying Uncertainty Robert Bordley .3.1 Sources of Uncertainty in Systems Engineering .3.2 The Rules of Probability and Human Intuition .3.3 Probability Distributions .3.4 Estimating Probabilities .3.5 Modeling using Probability .3.6 Summary .3.7 Key Words .3.8 Exercises .3.9 References .3.10 Index .4. Analyzing Resources Ed Pohl, Simon R. Goerger, and Kirk Michealson .4.1 Introduction .4.2 Resources .4.3 Cost analysis .4.4 Affordability analysis .4.5 Key Terms .4.6 Exercises .4.7 References .4.8 Index .5. Understanding Decision Management Matthew Cilli and Gregory S. Parnell .5.1 Introduction .5.2 Decision Process Context .5.3 Decision Process Activities .5.4 Summary .5.5 List of Key Terms .5.6 Exercises .5.7 References .5.8 Index .6. Identifying Opportunities Donna H. Rhodes and Simon R. Goerger .6.1 Introduction .6.2 Knowledge .6.3 Decision traps .6.4 Techniques .6.5 Tools .6.6 Illustrative examples .6.7 Key Terms .6.8 Exercises .6.9 References .6.10 Index .7. Identifying Objectives and Value Measures Gregory S. Parnell and William Miller .7.1 Introduction .7.2 Value–Focused Thinking .7.3 Shareholder and Stakeholder Value .7.4 Challenges in Identifying Objectives .7.5 Identifying the Decision Objectives .7.6 The Financial or Cost Objective .7.7 Developing Value Measures .7.8 Structuring Multiple Objectives .7.9 Illustrative Examples .7.10 Summary .7.11 Key Terms .7.12 Exercises .7.13 References .7.14 Index .8. Developing and Evaluating Alternatives C. Robert Kenley, Clifford Whitcomb, and Gregory S. Parnell .8.1 Introduction .8.2 Overview of Decision Making, Creativity, and Teams .8.3 Alternative development techniques .8.4 Assessment of alternative development techniques .8.5 Alternative evaluation techniques .8.6 Assessment of alternative evaluation techniques .8.7 Key Terms .8.8 Exercises .8.9 References .8.10 Index .9. An Integrated Model for Trade–off Analysis Alexander D. MacCalman, Gregory S. Parnell, and Sam Savage .9.1 Introduction .9.2 Conceptual Design Example .9.3 Integrated Approach Influence Diagram .9.4 Other Types of Trade–off Analysis .9.5 Simulation Tools .9.6 Summary .9.7 Key Terms .9.8 Exercises .9.9 References .9.10 Index .10. Exploring Concept Trade–Offs Azad M. Madni and Adam M. Ross .10.1 Introduction .10.2 Defining the Concept Space and System Concept of Operations .10.3 Exploring the concept space .10.4 Trade–off analysis frameworks .10.5 Tradespace and system design lifecycle .10.6 From point tradeoffs to tradespace exploration .10.7 Value–based multi–attribute tradespace analysis .10.8 Illustrative Example .10.9 Conclusions .10.10 Key terms .10.11 Exercises .10.12 References .10.13 Index .11. Architecture Evaluation Framework James N. Martin .11.1 Introduction .11.2 Key considerations in evaluating architectures .11.3 Architecture evaluation elements .11.4 Steps in an architecture evaluation process .11.5 Example evaluation taxonomy .11.6 Summary .11.7 Key terms .11.8 Exercises .11.9 References .11.10 Index .12. Exploring the Design Space Cliff Whitcomb and Paul Beery .12.1 Introduction .12.2 Example 1: Liftboat .12.3 Example 2: Cruise Ship Design .12.4 Example 3: NATO Naval Surface Combatant Ship .12.5 Key Terms .12.6 Exercises .12.7 References .12.8 Index .13. Sustainment Related Models and Trade Studies John E. MacCarthy and Andres Vargas .13.1 Introduction .13.2 Availability Modeling and Trade Studies .13.3 Sustainment Life Cycle Cost Modeling and Trade Studies .13.4 Optimization in Availability Trade Studies .13.5 Monte Carlo Modeling .13.6 Chapter Summary .13.7 Key terms .13.8 Exercises .13.9 References .13.10 Index .14. Performing Programmatic Trade–off Analyses Gina Guillaume–Joseph and John E. MacCarthy .14.1 Introduction .14.2 System Acceptance Decisions and Trade Studies .14.3 Product Cancellation Decision Trade Study .14.4 Product Retirement Decision Trade Study .14.5 Key Terms .14.6 Exercises .14.7 References .14.8 Index .15. Summary and Future Trends Gregory S. Parnell and Simon R. Goerger .15.1 Introduction .15.2 Major Trade–off Analysis Themes .15.3 Future of Trade–off Analysis .15.4 Summary .15.5 References .Index

• ISBN: 978-1-119-23753-2
• Editorial: Wiley–Blackwell
• Encuadernacion: Cartoné
• Páginas: 632
• Fecha Publicación: 02/01/2017
• Nº Volúmenes: 1
• Idioma: Inglés