INDICE: PREFACE 1INTRODUCTION 1.1Transport planning and modelling 1.2Characteristics of transport problems 1.3Modelling and decision making 1.4Issues in transport modelling 1.5The structure of the classic transport model 1.6Continuous transport planning 1.7Theoretical basis versus expedience 2MATHEMATICAL PREREQUISITES 2.1Introduction 2.2Algebra and functions 2.3Matrix algebra 2.4Elements of calculus 2.5Elementary mathematical statistics 3DATA AND SPACE 3.1Basic sampling theory 3.2Errors in modelling and forecasting 3.3Basic data-collection methods 3.4Stated Preference Surveys 3.5Network and zoning systems Exercises 4TRIP GENERATION MODELLING 4.1Introduction 4.2Regression analysis 4.3Cross-classification or category analysis 4.4Trip generation and accessibility 4.5The frequency choice logit model 4.6Forecasting variables in trip generation analysis 4.7Stability and updating of trip generation parameters Exercises 5TRIP DISTRIBUTION MODELLING 5.1Definitions and notation 5.2Growth-factor methods 5.3Synthetic or gravity models 5.4The entropy-maximising approach 5.5Calibrationof gravity models 5.6The tri-proportional approach 5.7Other synthetic models 5.8Practical considerations Exercises 6MODAL SPLIT AND DIRECT DEMAND MODELS 6.1Introduction 6.2Factors influencing the choice of mode 6.3Trip-end modal-split models 6.4Trip interchange heuristics modal-split models 6.5Synthetic models6.6Direct demand models Exercises 7DISCRETE CHOICE MODELS 7.1General considerations 7.2Theoretical framework 7.3The multinomial logit model (MNL) 7.4The nested logit model (NL) 7.5The multinomial probit model 7.6The mixed logit model7.7Other choice models and paradigms Exercises 8SPECIFICATION AND ESTIMATION OF DISCRETE CHOICE MODELS 8.1Introduction 8.2Choice-set determination 8.3Specification and functional form 8.4Statistical estimation 8.5Estimating the multinomial probit model 8.6Estimating the mixed logit model 8.7Modelling with stated-preference data Exercises 9MODEL AGGREGATION AND TRANSFERABILITY 9.1Introduction 9.2Aggregation bias and forecasting 9.3Confidence intervals for predictions 9.4Aggregation methods 9.5Model updating or transferance Exercises 10ASSIGNMENT 10.1Basic concepts 10.2Traffic assignment methods 10.3All-or-nothing assignment 10.4Stochastic methods 10.5Congested assignment 10.6Public-transport assignment 10.7 Limitations of the classic methods 10.8Practical considerationsExercises 11EQUILIBRIUM BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND 11.1Introduction 11.2Equilibrium 11.3Transport system equilibrium 11.4 Traffic dynamics 11.5Departure time choice and assignment Exercises 12SIMPLIFIED TRANSPORT DEMAND MODELS 12.1Introduction 12.2Sketch planning methods 12.3Incremental demand models 12.4Model estimation from traffic counts 12.5Marginal and corridor models 12.6Gaming simulation Exercises 13FREIGHT DEMAND MODELLING 13.1Importance 13.2Factors affecting goods movements 13.3Pricing freight services 13.4Aggregate freight demand modelling 13.5Dis
- ISBN: 978-0-470-76039-0
- Editorial: John Wiley & Sons
- Encuadernacion: Rústica
- Páginas: 607
- Fecha Publicación: 04/03/2011
- Nº Volúmenes: 1
- Idioma: Inglés